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Financial Markets 07/14 09:32
Stocks are holding steadier on a calmer Wall Street Tuesday after a report
showed U.S. inflation was not as bad last month as economists expected.
NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks are holding steadier on a calmer Wall Street Tuesday
after a report showed U.S. inflation was not as bad last month as economists
expected. That was even though oil prices continue to jump on worries that the
United States and Iran may return to all-out war.
The S&P 500 added 0.2% to recover some of its 0.8% loss from the prior day.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 142 points, or 0.3%, as of 10:15 a.m.
Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.3% higher.
Stocks got help from easing yields in the bond market, which fell after a
report said U.S. consumers had to pay prices for gasoline, food and other costs
of living that were 3.5% higher last month than a year earlier.
While that's more than nearly everyone would like, it wasn't as bad as May's
4.2% inflation rate or the 3.9% that economists expected for June. Less bad
inflation could take pressure off the Federal Reserve, which is considering
raising interest rates.
Higher rates can keep a lid on inflation, but they also slow the economy and
hurt prices for all kinds of investments.
Following the inflation report, traders see less than a 15% chance that the
Federal Reserve will raise its main interest rate at its next meeting later
this month. That's down from the nearly 42% probability seen the day before,
according to data from CME Group.
Rebounds for several big, influential stocks of computer chip companies also
helped steady the market. They've been swinging sharply in recent weeks on
worries that they shot too high in the euphoria around artificial-intelligence
technology.
Micron Technology rose 1.8%, and Nvidia added 0.5%. A day before, they were
two of the heaviest weights on the S&P 500 after falling 4.4% and 3.5%,
respectively.
To be sure, big risks remain for inflation. Fighting in the Middle East is
threatening to close or slow traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow
waterway that oil tankers use to ship crude from the Persian Gulf to customers
worldwide.
The price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, rose
another 2.6% to $85.43. Following its leap of nearly 10% on Monday, it's back
to where it was before the United States and Iran signed their interim deal to
halt their fighting in the middle of last month.
Wall Street's other big focus this week is the start of earnings reporting
season, as companies tell investors how much profit they made from April
through June.
The pressure is on companies to deliver big growth to justify how high their
stock prices have jumped. Indexes are near records despite the recent swings
caused by worries about AI stocks.
Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo
all on Tuesday reported fatter profits for the latest quarter than analysts
expected. Their reports showed strength for their trading desks and suggested
spending by U.S. consumers remains resilient.
Their stocks rose following the results, including jumps of 8.1% for Goldman
Sachs and 2.1% for Bank of America.
On the losing end of Wall Street was IBM, which was the single heaviest
weight on the S&P 500. It dropped 24.8% after CEO Arvind Krishna said
performance for its software and infrastructure businesses fell short of
expectations last quarter.
IBM's customers in late June shifted their spending toward servers, storage
and memory to get ahead of expected price increases caused by the AI boom.
"These conditions require our teams to execute perfectly, and this quarter
we faltered," Krishna wrote in a letter to investors. "We did not adapt and
move quickly enough, and numerous large deals failed to close on the timelines
we expected, driving the majority of our shortfall."
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped to 4.57% from
4.62% late Monday. It halts a run higher from 3.97% before the war with Iran
began.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will answer questions from lawmakers on Capitol Hill
later in the day for the first time since taking over leadership of the central
bank. In his prepared testimony, he pledged to make high inflation "a thing of
the past" but offered no signal about the Fed's next steps.
Besides the Fed's upcoming meeting on interest rates, July is full of
potential flashpoints that could shake the stock market and potentially knock
it lower before rising again by the end of the year, according to Thomas
Carroll, strategist at Stifely Nicolaus. That includes Middle East tensions,
earnings reports from the biggest U.S. stocks and volatile jobs data.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe following a stronger
finish in Asia.
Japan's Nikkei 225 added 0.7% after SoftBank Group Corp. rose 3.3%. It's a
big investor in AI, and Chairman Masayoshi Son gave a speech at a company event
in Tokyo where he derided the idea that there is a bubble in investments in
capacity for AI.
Stocks rose 1.4% in Shanghai after the government reported China's exports
jumped 27% in June from a year earlier as AI drove strong demand for computer
chips and other technology.
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AP Business Writer Elaine Kurtenbach contributed to this report.
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